Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 114.101816 125.974547 138.136416 151.499293 165.742548 180.444054 196.739089
2025-05-11 95.252871 113.039923 132.148120 154.084283 178.452650 204.578369 234.589805
2025-05-18 75.686407 96.561184 120.057831 148.172035 180.603003 216.557746 259.145404
2025-05-25 62.247817 85.097425 111.963713 145.332704 185.113712 230.490185 285.619278
2025-06-01 52.891944 77.167076 106.881689 145.039818 191.849291 246.545880 314.412522
2025-06-08 46.163148 71.581098 103.867033 146.579266 200.295271 264.365403 345.277095
2025-06-15 42.280347 69.153429 104.391947 152.188241 213.538525 287.937829 383.220666
2025-06-22 37.801972 65.343762 102.650602 154.524940 222.451080 306.148464 414.775890
2025-06-29 33.331625 60.999301 99.731118 154.928090 228.619627 320.817335 441.993413
2025-07-06 29.852934 57.691099 97.884593 156.471493 236.066611 337.009772 471.156202
2025-07-13 27.879912 56.443307 98.769593 161.622821 248.232502 359.272053 508.138580
2025-07-20 25.569175 54.387835 98.270349 164.691221 257.540453 377.883936 540.640113
2025-07-27 23.772707 53.052983 98.814488 169.333171 269.230516 400.009524 578.290844
2025-08-03 21.733574 51.086823 98.252404 172.310759 278.671590 419.340430 612.655314
2025-08-10 17.909600 45.479994 91.610181 166.005253 274.924660 421.028242 624.045038
2025-08-17 15.238695 41.601495 87.375233 162.975951 275.540038 428.388054 642.795900
2025-08-24 13.384171 39.032049 85.061648 162.682050 279.936217 440.812104 668.285904
2025-08-31 12.059633 37.347701 84.091351 164.362273 287.141974 457.097725 699.039492
2025-09-07 11.531741 37.287947 85.900686 170.443365 300.870849 482.507730 742.267034
2025-09-14 10.534967 36.051980 85.530619 172.975882 309.348141 500.707088 775.938461
2025-09-21 9.358864 34.219277 83.938226 173.413837 314.639640 514.469870 803.691407
2025-09-28 8.453855 32.883910 83.146117 175.084728 321.756606 530.825675 835.085148
2025-10-05 8.073330 32.802463 84.687986 180.656429 334.866587 555.769874 878.434248